Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Tie Ballgame

Super Tuesday didn't change much on the Democratic side. Clinton won the bigger, bluer, primary states; Obama won more states, primarily red or swing states, and all the caucus states. They split the delegates. The numbers according to MyDD, including superdelegates: Clinton 919, Obama 823, with 2,025 needed to win.

Obama's squeaker of a win in Missouri buoyed me last night, because I knew that

Missouri is considered a bellwether state because its voters have come down on the side of the winner in every presidential election except one in the past 100 years.

I called my Obama-voting brother in Missouri to celebrate and woke him up! I am a political geek, and hey, it's an hour earlier in Missouri. Who goes to bed before midnight on Super Tuesday?

Obama's Super Tuesday speech got to me when he said this:

And if I am your nominee, my opponent will not be able to say that I voted for the war in Iraq, because I didn’t, or that I gave George Bush the benefit of the doubt on Iran, because I haven’t, or that I support the Bush-Cheney doctrine of not talking to leaders we don’t like, because I profoundly disagree with that approach.

That's why I'm voting for Obama. I like Hillary, but she voted for the war. A person with as much as experience as she has should have known better.

The big story is turnout. The Democratic turnout is dwarfing Republican turnout in almost every state, including states we think of as automatic in the Republican column.

Dems 227,000
Reps 120,000

820,000 Dems
585,000 Reps

1,041,000 Dems
953,000 Reps


202,000 Dems
59,000 Reps

533,000 Dems
551,000 Reps

South Carolina
530,000 Dems
441,000 Reps

New Hampshire

282,000 Dems
232,000 Reps

Then there's my state:

1.2 million Dems
479,000 Reps

Coach Mom:

New York
1.7 million Dems
600,000 Reps

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